2023-01-28 13:44:42
HODL or Speculation?
Today let's break down 2 opposing strategies for profiting from the market.
HODL
You choose an asset, such as ETH, and start buying regularly once a month/week/day. You don't pay attention to the price, the main thing is to buy regularly and for the same amount.
Pros:
Analysts at JPMorgan calculated that over the past 20 years, the average investor's return has been 2.9% and has only outpaced inflation. While the SP500 was growing at 7.9% a year. Much more profitable to buy and forget.
Cons:
- Discipline (forgot to buy)
- Emotions (scared to buy when things go down)
- Fear of news (Bitcoin scams, Ethereum gets regulated...)
This is why not everyone can stick with a DCA or HODL strategy.
Speculation
Trying to buy cheaper and sell higher, hunting for the best entry and exit points.
Speculators use many strategies to measure the degree of mood in the market:
- Fear index/crowd mood: buy when it's bleeding, sell on euphoria.
- Technical analysis: buy under a 200-day MA.
- On-chain metrics.
- And even lunar phases ;)
Pros:
You can preserve capital during market declines and outperform the market during gains.
Cons:
The market is often prone to giving false signals, fakes, manipulation, etc. Emotions can trick you into selling during a depressed market. And this is the best entry point.
Truth in the middle
Instead of trying to only HODL or only speculate, create 2 portfolios:
1. Long term for 5-10 years with fundamental projects. For now it's BTC and ETH. Invest regularly, small amounts on a buy&forget basis. Sid-phrase just do not forget.
2. Portfolio for speculation on trends, altcoins and any ideas.
There is no perfect strategy. Discipline, experience, persistence and luck is the Grail.
@Crypto_Paradize
1.8K views10:44